The SV Werder Bremen Files
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SV Werder Bremen

Polymarket and Altus Alpha Predictions

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Akte Werder Bremen — Club-Dossier SV Werder Bremen
Predictions
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Frequently Asked Questions
Where does Werder stand in the table?
Werder are 6th with 12 points after 7 matchdays. Goal difference: +1.
What is the Pinnacle Oracle?
The Oracle removes the bookmaker margin (vig) from Pinnacle odds and normalizes to 100% — the sharpest available probability estimate.

Pinnacle Oracle

Oracle Pipeline BETA

Four stages, one question: where does Werder's probability come from — and what moves it?

BVB vs Werder · Fri, 10/09, 06:30 PM

1

Base Model

Table + ppg

Home57.6%
Draw24%
Away18.4%

Werder: 18.4%

2

Adjustments

Statistical Intelligence

  • ⚪ Werder away 0.0pp
  • 🟢 Versus top-6 opponent -9.0pp
Home62.1%
Draw28.5%
Away9.4%

Werder: 9.4% (-9.0pp)

3

Pinnacle Oracle

Vig-removed

Home69.2%
Draw17.4%
Away13.5%

Werder: 13.5%

4

Smart Money

Line movement

Stage 4 in development — line history will be persisted from next season.

Model vs. Pinnacle: -4.1pp — Pipeline model sees Werder weaker than Pinnacle

The pipeline is transparent: Stage 1 is a simple table model, Stage 2 applies significant splits from Statistical Intelligence, Stage 3 shows what Pinnacle (the sharpest bookmaker in the world) says. Stage 4 (sharp-money line movement) will follow once we persist line history.

Oracle data unavailable. Next update cycle shortly.

Value Signals

No active Polymarket events for SV Werder Bremen. Oracle data only.

Community Forecasts

Metaculus-style forecasts — no real money, fully compliant.

All 73 questions on Akte Bundesliga Forecasts →

Bundesliga Table · Matchday 7

# Club MP W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern 7 5 2 0 +19 17
2 BVB 7 5 2 0 +8 17
3 Freiburg 7 4 1 2 +7 13
4 Leverkusen 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Leipzig 7 4 0 3 +9 12
6 Werder 7 3 3 1 +1 12
7 Mainz 7 3 1 3 +3 10
8 Elversberg 7 3 1 3 -3 10
9 Augsburg 7 2 3 2 +4 9
10 Hoffenheim 7 3 0 4 0 9
11 HSV 7 3 0 4 -10 9
12 Koeln 7 2 2 3 -3 8
13 Paderborn 7 2 2 3 -3 8
14 Eintracht 7 2 2 3 -7 8
15 Stuttgart 7 2 0 5 -3 6
16 Schalke 04 7 1 3 3 -3 6
17 Union 7 1 3 3 -12 6
18 Gladbach 7 1 0 6 -11 3