W1 · Morning Brief
07:30
40%
10 Items
Result
Fixed
07:30
Stuttgart 0:1 Werder (Matchday 23). —. Liberation strike! Surprise win in Stuttgart. Werder defended heroically and countered efficiently. Erster Awaysieg seit Oktober.
Match Stats
Fixed
07:30
Stuttgart 0:1 Werder — Match Statistics:
38.2%
Possession SVW
3 : 6
Shots on Target
8 : 19
Total Shots
3 : 8
Corners
Mood
Variable
08:03
Pure relief! Stuttgart win gives hope in the relegation battle. Weserstadion will be rocking against Heidenheim.
Injuries
Fixed
07:30
Buchanan (Kreuzbandriss), Veljkovic (Adduktoren — Freitag-Training entscheidet).
Form
Fixed
07:30
Saison: 4-8-11, 20 Punkte aus 23 Spielen. Last 5 Liga: L D L L W. Torbilanz: 22:40. Hometabelle Platz 13. — away position 16..
Transfer
Variable
07:30
No activity. Werner sticks with the existing squad — full focus on survival.
Table
Fixed
07:30
16th (Relegation!) after Matchday 23 — but Stuttgart win as a sign of life. Heidenheim (18th, 15 pts) 5 points behind. Home win on Saturday is a must.
Home / Away
Fixed
07:30
Werder HEIM 25/26
Table: 13.
Heidenheim AUSWÄRTS 25/26
Table: —
H2H
Fixed
07:30
Direktvergleich Bundesliga (8 games): Werder 3S 3U 2N, Goals 12:10. First Half: Heidenheim 1:1 Werder (Matchday 11, 07.12.2025).
H2H Last 5
Fixed
07:30
07.12.25Heidenheim 1:1 WerderU
18.05.25Werder 2:0 HeidenheimS
09.12.24Heidenheim 0:1 WerderS
30.03.24Werder 1:2 HeidenheimN
21.10.23Heidenheim 2:2 WerderU
Last 5: Werder 2S 2U 1N · 2× in 3 Homespiele vs Heidenheim
Key Stats
Fixed
07:30
0:1
Liberation strike in Stuttgart
38.2%
Possession in Stuttgart (reichte!)
20
Punkte — relegation spot
0.87
Punkte/Spiel
Werder Overallbilanz all competitions 25/26: 5S 9U 12N, 24:44 Goals (26 games). Schlechteste Away-Mannschaft der Liga.
Early Odds
Fixed
07:30
Werder vs Heidenheim (Sat 28.02.) — Opening Odds:
Werder
1.80
52.8%
Unentsch.
3.60
26.4%
Heidenheim
4.50
21.1%
Oracle
Fixed
07:30
Oracle 3-Source Comparison · Werder vs Heidenheim:
| Quelle | Werder | Unentsch. | Heidenheim | Vol / Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — | — | ⏳ ~Di/Mi |
| Polymarket | 54¢ | 25¢ | 23¢ | $2.9K |
| Kalshi | — | — | — | ⏳ ~Mi/Do |
⚠️ Liquidity: LOW — Polymarket-Volumen $2.9K. Pinnacle-Closing-Line ab ~Mittwoch als Wahrheitsreferenz.
Delta Check: Not available — only 1 of 3 sources live. Oracle table complete from ~Wed 25.02.
Season Markets
Fixed
07:30
Season market context: Werder Relegation: Polymarket 26¢ YES. In the relegation spot — Heidenheim duel is a 6-point game.
W2 · Midday Update
12:30
25%
4 Items planned
Preview
12:30
H2H am Standort, Gegner-Saisonprofil, Verletzungsstatus nach Training, Sperr-Check (Gelbe Karten). 4 Items planned.
W3 · Evening Brief
17:30
25%
4 Items planned
Preview
17:30
Pinnacle-Opening Odds (if available), Polymarket/Kalshi-Update, Key Metric, Remaining schedule next 5 opponents. 4 Items planned.
W4 · Night Signal
21:00
10%
1 Item planned
Preview
21:00
CL-/Relegations-Mathematik, Value Signal (C+ Paywall). 1 Item planned.
Publishing · Monday (MD+2)
TIER 2 · 10 ITEMS
W1
07:30
Morning Brief · 40% ▸
W212:30Midday Update · 25%
W317:30Evening Brief · 25%
W421:00Night Signal · 10%
Split: 7 Fixed (70%) · 2 Variable (20%) · 1 Signal (10%)
Last Match · Matchday 23
Stuttgart — Werder
Werder
Sat 22.02. · 15:30 · MHPArena · 60.058
⚽ —
Next Match · Matchday 24
LOW
Werder
16. · 20 Pts
4-8-11
vs
Heidenheim
18. · 15 Pts
3-6-14
🏟 Weserstadion
📅 Sat 28.02.
⏰ 15:30
Oracle · 3-Quellen-Status
PINNACLE · Wahrheitsreferenz
⏳ Linie erwartet ~Di/Wed 25.02.
POLYMARKET · Prediction Market
Werder
54¢
Unentsch.
25¢
Heidenheim
23¢
Volume: $2.9K
KALSHI · CFTC-reguliert
⏳ Markt erwartet ~Mi/Thu 26.02.
DELTA-CHECK: Not available (1/3 sources live)
Value Signal: Available from 3-source comparison ~Wed 25.02.
Value Signal: Available from 3-source comparison ~Wed 25.02.
Value Signal · Thresholds
C+ PREMIER
| <3pp | No Signal | Märkte im Einklang |
| 3–5pp | 👁️ Watch | Watch |
| 5–10pp | ⚡ Trade | C+ Paywall |
| >10pp | 🔥 Strong | C+ Paywall |
| Arb | 🔒 Arb | C+ Paywall |
Preview Stats · Matchday 24
| Werder | Heidenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Tabellenplatz | 16. | 18. |
| Punkte | 20 | 15 |
| Bilanz | 4-8-11 | 3-6-14 |
| Goals | 22:40 | 18:44 |
| Form (5) | NUNNS | NNUNN |
| Ohne Win | 4 Spiele Spiele | — |
| Home/Away | H: 13. | A: — |
| Frühquote | 1.80 | 4.50 |
| Wahrsch. | 52.8% | 21.1% |
| Liquidität | LOW $2.9K Poly | |
API-Football · Polymarket · Sky · 23.02.2026
Squad Status
- Aus Buchanan Kreuzbandriss
- Doubtful Veljkovic Adduktoren — Freitag-Training entscheidet
API-Football · kicker.de · FotMob · 23.02.2026
Manager · Ole Werner
"That was exactly what we needed. Outstanding fight. This is how we need to show up every week."
Sky · 22.02.2026
Data Pipeline · Sources
API-Football
Stats, Table, Form
Football-Data
H2H, Backup
Odds API
Pinnacle Lines
Polymarket
Match + Season
Kalshi
CFTC-reguliert
kicker.de
Squad, press conf, quotes
Weser-Kurier
Mood, Transfer
ZERO HALLUCINATION · Nur API-Daten · Keine Fakten aus LLM-Wissen